No Dumb Ideas

Does momentum exist in prediction markets? A short analysis

A change of pace driven by a minor obsession. Back to normal NDI next week.

Nov 4 • 

No Dumb Ideas

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October 2025

The big idea: Let college students buy drinking licenses

Underage drinking already happens. What if states could redirect it to supervised venues while funding the interstate highway system?

Oct 28 • 

No Dumb Ideas

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The big idea: Hobbies through acquisition

After a COVID-driven boom in hobbies, billions of dollars in investment is sitting in America's closets. What if there was a better way to sell them?

Oct 21 • 

No Dumb Ideas

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The big idea: Charge less for low-rated Uber drivers

Uber regularly kicks off drivers that fall below a ratings threshold. What if they made them cheaper instead?

Oct 7 • 

No Dumb Ideas

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September 2025

Creating a tariff-free coffee substitute

With coffee prices skyrocketing and tariffs adding to the pain, does it make sense to start looking locally?

Sep 24 • 

No Dumb Ideas

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The big idea: Marriage-backed bonds

For many couples, getting married means a guaranteed tax break. Why can't they use it to pay for their wedding?

Sep 16 • 

No Dumb Ideas

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The 1924 New Mexico regional banking panic

A change in tone for Labor Day Weekend: let's revisit a century-old banking panic. Back to normal programming next week

Sep 2 • 

No Dumb Ideas

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August 2025

Turn flights into wine tasting rooms

In a tough environment for the American wine industry, it might be time for some radical new ideas. Are 50mL airplane bottles the future of wine?

Aug 26 • 

No Dumb Ideas

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The best of No Dumb Ideas so far

A brief look back after 30 ideas

Aug 19 • 

No Dumb Ideas

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1

The big idea: a tip jar for scenic neighborhoods

A big idea to compensate residents of tourist towns for the externalities that tourists bring.

Aug 12

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Condoize parking spaces to create timeshares

Parking is likely to get increasingly scarce in cities. In an NDI-exclusive investment thesis, timeshares might be the answer.

Aug 5 • 

No Dumb Ideas

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July 2025

A marketplace for trading chores

We live in a trillion-dollar autarky where everyone is sort of bad at their job. What if people were willing to trade?

Jul 29 • 

No Dumb Ideas

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